Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Retail Trade Employment Growth
Across Georgia Counties
Retail Trade
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Retail Trade
Employment Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 3.14%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of retail trade employment growth across all of Georgia's 159 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Georgia Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the retail trade employment growth of Georgia's 159 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Retail Trade
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Retail Trade
Employment Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 3.14%
This figure displays the 159 counties of Georgia as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual retail trade employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the retail trade employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term retail trade employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.65%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.65% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual retail trade employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.65%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 54 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 93 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 73 counties whose most recent (2022) retail trade employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.14%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 74 counties whose retail trade employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 159 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.65% over 2010-2022 and 3.14% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual retail trade employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.65%) and near-term (3.14%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual retail trade employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.65%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Georgia average (3.14%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual retail trade employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.65%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.14%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual retail trade employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.65%) and near-term (3.14%).
   
 
Summary of Georgia's 159 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.14%)
Above
(3.14%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.65%)
23
31
54
Below
(1.65%)
51
42
93
 
74
73
147
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 3.14%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Georgia counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Georgia's average annual retail trade employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.14%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual retail trade employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 31 (19%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 3.14%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 23 Georgia counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual retail trade employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.65%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.14%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual retail trade employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 23 (14%) of Georgia's 159 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 3.14%
This figure shows the distribution of the 42 Georgia counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual retail trade employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.65%), while they outpaced Georgia's average near-term (2022 = 3.14%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual retail trade employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 26% (42) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 3.14%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 51 Georgia counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual retail trade employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.14%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual retail trade employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
32% of Georgia's counties, 51 of 159, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Georgia
Retail Trade Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
1
7.19
 
1
27.42
6,739
 
16
3.58
 
63
3.47
6,464
 
27
2.69
 
49
3.77
1,185
 
3
5.96
 
2
17.13
1,744
 
30
2.51
 
8
6.71
350
 
18
3.47
 
31
4.51
15,951
 
29
2.53
 
70
3.32
17,353
 
51
1.75
 
46
3.96
2,943
 
47
1.89
 
67
3.38
2,722
 
17
3.51
 
54
3.56
815
 
11
3.94
 
16
5.56
10,727
 
12
3.89
 
10
6.56
195
 
39
2.17
 
17
5.52
2,161
 
5
4.61
 
65
3.40
1,823
 
6
4.53
 
28
4.66
13,939
 
53
1.70
 
57
3.51
66,677
 
46
1.89
 
22
4.95
1,124
 
19
3.37
 
13
5.72
795
 
28
2.65
 
23
4.91
171
 
13
3.82
 
51
3.63
15,946
 
22
3.05
 
75
3.23
224
 
15
3.67
 
68
3.35
833
 
14
3.72
 
64
3.41
1,396
 
32
2.46
 
59
3.50
1,301
 
52
1.74
 
47
3.83
787
 
8
4.32
 
42
4.12
1,187
 
20
3.34
 
72
3.28
5,095
 
50
1.81
 
29
4.62
1,720
 
9
4.28
 
19
5.13
123
 
25
2.77
 
3
14.73
483
 
49
1.84
 
69
3.33
1,767
Slipping Counties
 
26
2.69
 
121
2.10
1,364
 
4
5.79
 
106
2.42
2,367
 
24
2.96
 
85
2.97
4,397
 
38
2.26
 
132
1.77
23,029
 
31
2.49
 
122
2.09
9,040
 
44
1.94
 
83
3.02
717
 
36
2.31
 
102
2.50
3,529
 
40
2.09
 
98
2.66
1,157
 
48
1.88
 
123
2.09
1,027
 
42
2.03
 
86
2.96
11,718
 
41
2.09
 
117
2.17
9,975
 
2
6.15
 
110
2.25
6,669
 
23
3.05
 
129
1.93
422
 
45
1.89
 
135
1.58
3,661
 
33
2.34
 
139
1.26
3,059
 
37
2.27
 
124
2.05
1,490
 
7
4.33
 
101
2.51
2,528
 
10
4.23
 
107
2.42
7,908
 
35
2.32
 
108
2.30
1,821
 
21
3.12
 
119
2.16
853
 
34
2.32
 
115
2.22
6,813
 
43
1.95
 
90
2.87
3,906
 
54
1.67
 
127
2.00
1,680
Gaining Counties
 
137
-1.09
 
18
5.45
213
 
117
0.13
 
66
3.39
61
 
143
-1.96
 
14
5.61
640
 
75
1.19
 
20
5.08
414
 
83
1.07
 
40
4.16
4,355
 
110
0.24
 
30
4.56
987
 
62
1.50
 
12
6.19
240
 
77
1.15
 
38
4.19
1,617
 
76
1.17
 
77
3.18
44,840
 
134
-0.84
 
45
3.96
394
 
113
0.20
 
41
4.16
7,040
 
89
0.83
 
35
4.34
10,129
 
60
1.53
 
74
3.25
508
 
85
1.03
 
56
3.53
1,174
 
82
1.08
 
50
3.68
6,371
 
72
1.27
 
43
4.04
1,263
 
81
1.09
 
60
3.48
297
 
130
-0.36
 
55
3.55
204
 
98
0.53
 
26
4.80
655
 
93
0.76
 
33
4.35
240
 
144
-1.99
 
4
7.44
390
 
109
0.30
 
24
4.86
733
 
145
-2.08
 
61
3.48
208
 
146
-2.69
 
53
3.57
174
 
91
0.81
 
5
7.17
314
 
78
1.11
 
9
6.68
479
 
107
0.35
 
44
3.96
236
 
65
1.42
 
73
3.26
13,230
 
105
0.40
 
52
3.58
1,590
 
126
-0.25
 
11
6.52
98
 
135
-0.88
 
39
4.17
674
 
116
0.16
 
37
4.29
243
 
88
0.84
 
15
5.58
416
 
103
0.44
 
58
3.51
620
 
133
-0.65
 
27
4.76
4,360
 
99
0.53
 
48
3.78
1,237
 
92
0.79
 
6
7.16
4,279
 
127
-0.30
 
71
3.32
2,644
 
114
0.19
 
36
4.32
145
 
112
0.22
 
32
4.42
922
 
104
0.40
 
33
4.35
96
 
123
-0.18
 
62
3.47
685
Lagging Counties
 
67
1.42
 
100
2.53
446
 
71
1.28
 
95
2.71
2,956
 
131
-0.41
 
87
2.93
878
 
140
-1.58
 
149
-0.83
598
 
102
0.47
 
118
2.17
12,905
 
57
1.59
 
136
1.53
596
 
59
1.54
 
147
0.22
454
 
147
-4.01
 
152
-6.03
109
 
55
1.62
 
80
3.10
2,664
 
87
0.94
 
145
0.36
558
 
74
1.20
 
116
2.18
6,899
 
86
0.99
 
137
1.38
9,495
 
142
-1.86
 
134
1.64
62
 
66
1.42
 
120
2.14
51,902
 
132
-0.41
 
88
2.93
1,687
 
125
-0.21
 
142
1.01
899
 
120
-0.01
 
103
2.47
831
 
94
0.73
 
112
2.23
551
 
69
1.35
 
111
2.25
9,048
 
90
0.81
 
150
-1.23
5,442
 
80
1.10
 
99
2.55
1,205
 
64
1.43
 
114
2.22
76,236
 
68
1.40
 
89
2.92
1,762
 
95
0.69
 
82
3.04
2,882
 
61
1.52
 
84
3.00
2,441
 
138
-1.12
 
153
-7.55
147
 
119
0.00
 
81
3.09
735
 
96
0.66
 
146
0.26
784
 
128
-0.31
 
130
1.91
8,091
 
106
0.37
 
140
1.13
1,159
 
79
1.10
 
91
2.86
431
 
101
0.49
 
94
2.73
188
 
111
0.24
 
109
2.25
907
 
58
1.55
 
105
2.43
1,347
 
100
0.52
 
93
2.76
12,967
 
63
1.49
 
143
0.45
2,220
 
122
-0.11
 
131
1.90
428
 
139
-1.21
 
96
2.70
1,102
 
73
1.24
 
97
2.70
1,333
 
115
0.16
 
151
-1.40
494
 
141
-1.69
 
133
1.68
423
 
124
-0.21
 
104
2.44
1,593
 
56
1.61
 
79
3.11
3,181
 
84
1.05
 
141
1.12
3,355
 
70
1.34
 
138
1.35
2,106
 
129
-0.34
 
78
3.14
263
 
97
0.56
 
128
1.97
363
 
121
-0.08
 
92
2.81
2,087
 
108
0.31
 
126
2.01
1,520
 
136
-1.00
 
125
2.04
6,208
 
118
0.01
 
144
0.42
483
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
148
0.00
29
 
U
U
 
113
2.22
46
 
U
U
 
25
4.81
196
 
U
U
 
7
7.05
258
 
U
U
 
21
5.00
42
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
75
3.23
32
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.65
 
3.14
658,170
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.72
 
2.22
19,510,300
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510700_LSGL
 
   
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