Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing State Government Earnings Growth
Across Georgia Counties
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 2.56%
2022 = 4.94%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real state government earnings growth across all of Georgia's 159 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Georgia Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real state government earnings growth of Georgia's 159 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 2.56%
2022 = 4.94%
This figure displays the 159 counties of Georgia as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real state government earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real state government earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real state government earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.56%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.56% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.56%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 42 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 96 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 62 counties whose most recent (2022) real state government earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.94%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 76 counties whose real state government earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 159 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.56% over 2010-2022 and 4.94% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real state government earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.56%) and near-term (4.94%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.56%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Georgia average (4.94%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.56%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.94%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real state government earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.56%) and near-term (4.94%).
   
 
Summary of Georgia's 159 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.94%)
Above
(4.94%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.56%)
17
25
42
Below
(2.56%)
59
37
96
 
76
62
138
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 2.56%
2022 = 4.94%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Georgia counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Georgia's average annual real state government earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.56%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.94%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 25 (16%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 2.56%
2022 = 4.94%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 17 Georgia counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.56%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.94%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 17 (11%) of Georgia's 159 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 2.56%
2022 = 4.94%
This figure shows the distribution of the 37 Georgia counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.56%), while they outpaced Georgia's average near-term (2022 = 4.94%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 23% (37) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 2.56%
2022 = 4.94%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 59 Georgia counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real state government earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.56%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.94%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
37% of Georgia's counties, 59 of 159, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Georgia
Real* State Government Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
21
3.96
 
2
40.28
1,703
 
25
3.71
 
24
11.63
6,122
 
10
5.26
 
56
6.46
1,664
 
31
3.23
 
50
7.09
306,186
 
16
4.35
 
23
11.64
8,027
 
23
3.88
 
64
5.31
476,839
 
30
3.26
 
47
7.39
1,337,811
 
34
3.18
 
1
112.24
1,231
 
9
5.38
 
46
7.44
591,705
 
42
2.63
 
20
12.80
35,890
 
29
3.30
 
65
5.07
12,131
 
22
3.95
 
6
19.81
1,972
 
14
4.61
 
12
17.13
44,437
 
26
3.62
 
41
8.04
6,611
 
28
3.41
 
55
6.87
3,405,232
 
39
2.89
 
45
7.47
107,399
 
24
3.82
 
66
4.95
184,487
 
4
6.60
 
8
19.04
17,752
 
20
4.08
 
38
8.41
74,598
 
27
3.61
 
3
27.89
2,091
 
40
2.83
 
33
10.21
1,695
 
1
14.27
 
40
8.08
102,851
 
38
2.97
 
52
6.98
4,156
 
11
4.96
 
34
9.99
163,551
 
15
4.55
 
18
12.90
2,985
Slipping Counties
 
37
3.05
 
107
0.88
54,914
 
32
3.23
 
93
2.19
6,054
 
13
4.74
 
78
3.82
8,557
 
35
3.15
 
77
3.93
24,096
 
17
4.15
 
105
1.06
7,054
 
18
4.12
 
102
1.64
1,300
 
5
5.81
 
115
-0.06
10,500
 
7
5.65
 
144
-8.39
7,242
 
8
5.60
 
98
1.87
256,460
 
6
5.78
 
128
-1.11
5,985
 
2
7.26
 
74
4.15
19,963
 
3
6.71
 
136
-2.61
934
 
41
2.65
 
137
-3.09
4,926
 
12
4.82
 
122
-0.69
14,279
 
36
3.07
 
80
3.62
11,552
 
33
3.20
 
88
2.56
37,965
 
19
4.12
 
68
4.84
117,054
Gaining Counties
 
50
2.15
 
21
12.35
6,230
 
77
1.04
 
16
14.01
1,001
 
65
1.60
 
59
6.17
7,887
 
130
-2.98
 
25
11.63
6,257
 
62
1.70
 
49
7.24
4,575
 
54
2.02
 
22
11.66
53,780
 
120
-1.59
 
51
7.06
20,237
 
82
0.84
 
54
6.88
131,075
 
103
-0.27
 
27
11.53
5,873
 
59
1.74
 
5
21.21
9,785
 
49
2.16
 
15
14.39
30,586
 
100
-0.03
 
14
14.53
725
 
70
1.37
 
11
17.23
2,633
 
63
1.66
 
53
6.94
2,004
 
123
-1.71
 
10
17.79
1,417
 
93
0.34
 
37
8.46
58,658
 
69
1.54
 
30
10.75
1,545
 
116
-1.36
 
58
6.26
6,791
 
68
1.55
 
43
7.58
6,702
 
104
-0.35
 
19
12.86
2,132
 
75
1.22
 
63
5.49
57,413
 
90
0.50
 
26
11.56
7,568
 
66
1.58
 
36
8.86
2,237
 
117
-1.37
 
13
14.95
21,881
 
67
1.56
 
39
8.31
2,542
 
132
-3.46
 
28
11.39
1,975
 
109
-0.71
 
32
10.33
3,665
 
98
-0.02
 
60
6.15
61,589
 
111
-0.95
 
7
19.57
770
 
48
2.21
 
61
6.06
20,084
 
74
1.23
 
35
9.79
3,397
 
80
0.98
 
17
13.56
3,677
 
47
2.24
 
48
7.38
11,742
 
71
1.35
 
57
6.28
23,046
 
102
-0.21
 
62
5.77
29,368
 
58
1.77
 
44
7.53
21,162
 
87
0.59
 
42
7.93
2,968
Lagging Counties
 
115
-1.25
 
132
-1.82
204,662
 
83
0.84
 
100
1.86
146,882
 
124
-1.80
 
81
3.26
982
 
137
-6.59
 
110
0.66
1,527
 
60
1.73
 
135
-2.09
33,729
 
94
0.25
 
120
-0.63
1,260
 
72
1.27
 
89
2.55
170,427
 
126
-2.15
 
124
-0.81
14,047
 
114
-1.22
 
95
2.13
136,597
 
79
0.99
 
67
4.90
1,713
 
97
0.01
 
90
2.51
18,798
 
57
1.82
 
108
0.73
20,976
 
52
2.14
 
70
4.70
554,306
 
125
-1.97
 
97
1.89
35,360
 
91
0.50
 
143
-7.27
15,639
 
85
0.73
 
133
-1.91
28,401
 
76
1.08
 
131
-1.70
4,440
 
119
-1.55
 
129
-1.48
93,307
 
56
1.83
 
84
2.87
12,721
 
45
2.36
 
75
4.09
6,893
 
101
-0.08
 
71
4.64
9,206
 
61
1.71
 
82
3.03
3,364
 
134
-4.82
 
130
-1.53
1,288
 
95
0.14
 
99
1.86
31,978
 
84
0.81
 
101
1.72
12,751
 
99
-0.02
 
92
2.21
2,408
 
64
1.61
 
125
-0.83
9,003
 
106
-0.55
 
72
4.42
4,966
 
110
-0.87
 
111
0.65
3,272
 
73
1.27
 
134
-1.95
2,809
 
92
0.36
 
87
2.58
26,252
 
55
1.83
 
103
1.64
4,217
 
81
0.93
 
86
2.59
194,442
 
89
0.54
 
139
-5.11
11,261
 
131
-3.34
 
121
-0.67
20,100
 
127
-2.33
 
127
-1.07
18,091
 
53
2.03
 
85
2.80
209,170
 
107
-0.59
 
119
-0.48
14,578
 
112
-1.15
 
145
-10.38
1,218
 
118
-1.41
 
117
-0.24
845
 
128
-2.44
 
138
-5.06
9,372
 
44
2.50
 
114
0.00
1,219,352
 
78
1.04
 
73
4.16
2,256
 
113
-1.22
 
91
2.44
4,449
 
122
-1.68
 
94
2.14
1,146
 
133
-3.60
 
146
-13.79
34,218
 
135
-5.03
 
142
-6.27
2,211
 
121
-1.68
 
123
-0.80
10,517
 
129
-2.68
 
96
2.08
39,379
 
108
-0.65
 
118
-0.47
4,194
 
46
2.28
 
106
0.98
44,445
 
105
-0.53
 
126
-0.89
559
 
88
0.57
 
69
4.75
13,879
 
51
2.15
 
83
2.97
88,279
 
86
0.70
 
113
0.04
42,713
 
136
-5.67
 
109
0.71
12,982
 
138
-7.45
 
112
0.14
703
 
43
2.53
 
104
1.55
68,372
 
96
0.04
 
147
-21.46
505
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
4
23.40
907
 
U
U
 
S
S
20,083
 
U
U
 
116
-0.22
10,482
 
U
U
 
76
4.00
1,716
 
U
U
 
S
S
209
 
U
U
 
140
-5.80
9,913
 
U
U
 
S
S
794
 
U
U
 
S
S
324
 
U
U
 
141
-5.81
12,866
 
U
U
 
79
3.70
9,934
 
U
U
 
29
10.79
12,328
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,719
 
U
U
 
S
S
119,077
 
U
U
 
S
S
18,194
 
U
U
 
S
S
321
 
U
U
 
S
S
5,459
 
U
U
 
9
18.21
662
 
U
U
 
31
10.41
3,096
 
U
U
 
S
S
490
 
U
U
 
S
S
364
 
U
U
 
S
S
8,349
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.56
 
4.94
12,046,642
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.81
 
2.68
477,522,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620310_LSGL
 
   
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