Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Retail Trade Earnings Growth
Across Georgia Counties
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 4.56%
2022 = 4.42%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real retail trade earnings growth across all of Georgia's 159 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Georgia Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real retail trade earnings growth of Georgia's 159 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 4.56%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure displays the 159 counties of Georgia as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real retail trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real retail trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.56%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.56% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.56%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 50 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 97 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 71 counties whose most recent (2022) real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.42%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 76 counties whose real retail trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 159 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.56% over 2010-2022 and 4.42% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.56%) and near-term (4.42%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.56%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Georgia average (4.42%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.56%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.42%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.56%) and near-term (4.42%).
   
 
Summary of Georgia's 159 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.42%)
Above
(4.42%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.56%)
18
32
50
Below
(4.56%)
58
39
97
 
76
71
147
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 4.56%
2022 = 4.42%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Georgia counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Georgia's average annual real retail trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.56%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 32 (20%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 4.56%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 18 Georgia counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.56%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 18 (11%) of Georgia's 159 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 4.56%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure shows the distribution of the 39 Georgia counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.56%), while they outpaced Georgia's average near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 25% (39) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 4.56%
2022 = 4.42%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 58 Georgia counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real retail trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.56%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.42%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
36% of Georgia's counties, 58 of 159, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Georgia
Real* Retail Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
7
8.24
 
50
5.47
60,068
 
1
13.28
 
1
40.00
338,099
 
13
7.43
 
58
4.97
259,836
 
37
5.00
 
13
9.69
14,693
 
8
7.86
 
19
8.64
74,920
 
28
5.53
 
36
6.71
39,421
 
2
11.37
 
2
27.27
65,203
 
15
6.95
 
24
7.75
179,822
 
41
4.78
 
46
5.69
8,129
 
14
7.09
 
12
10.13
580,665
 
33
5.17
 
68
4.77
120,228
 
17
6.28
 
73
4.57
365,816
 
24
5.83
 
44
5.89
24,332
 
12
7.56
 
18
8.72
419,095
 
30
5.44
 
17
9.26
19,416
 
20
6.05
 
34
6.75
135,634
 
3
9.60
 
16
9.27
71,252
 
9
7.83
 
5
12.52
536,391
 
35
5.10
 
67
4.79
43,925
 
23
5.85
 
14
9.37
40,912
 
39
4.88
 
40
6.26
2,944,978
 
38
4.94
 
43
5.98
478,796
 
32
5.22
 
64
4.85
36,248
 
25
5.76
 
56
5.14
11,390
 
36
5.10
 
22
8.00
26,508
 
49
4.56
 
71
4.65
39,872
 
47
4.60
 
20
8.57
9,466
 
19
6.06
 
48
5.52
32,072
 
5
8.89
 
49
5.50
94,080
 
21
5.98
 
7
11.63
64,260
 
6
8.60
 
3
14.53
19,717
 
29
5.47
 
63
4.86
59,525
Slipping Counties
 
16
6.93
 
94
3.18
11,882
 
43
4.73
 
91
3.33
90,709
 
26
5.65
 
82
3.85
969,114
 
44
4.63
 
83
3.84
396,114
 
31
5.38
 
86
3.72
2,568,776
 
34
5.14
 
88
3.66
58,762
 
45
4.61
 
99
2.83
1,856,884
 
40
4.82
 
100
2.80
36,293
 
18
6.11
 
84
3.77
504,144
 
4
9.48
 
76
4.33
261,287
 
50
4.56
 
105
2.46
128,285
 
22
5.91
 
92
3.21
42,919
 
46
4.60
 
116
1.74
97,753
 
42
4.77
 
95
3.16
51,569
 
27
5.59
 
127
0.83
223,969
 
10
7.78
 
102
2.71
80,908
 
11
7.64
 
109
2.22
29,899
 
48
4.58
 
125
1.00
2,634
Gaining Counties
 
119
1.87
 
47
5.60
5,340
 
134
0.65
 
6
11.85
20,193
 
57
4.39
 
65
4.83
18,782
 
63
4.30
 
29
7.37
9,941
 
74
3.94
 
31
7.31
144,956
 
78
3.70
 
69
4.71
18,728
 
80
3.68
 
55
5.19
235,308
 
95
3.23
 
51
5.47
27,836
 
76
3.77
 
23
7.83
6,405
 
62
4.31
 
60
4.96
96,806
 
82
3.66
 
8
11.26
3,675
 
91
3.40
 
61
4.91
352,440
 
97
3.15
 
32
7.01
52,576
 
71
4.11
 
25
7.69
242,849
 
98
3.10
 
45
5.75
91,980
 
81
3.67
 
72
4.60
76,760
 
88
3.54
 
41
6.14
38,310
 
54
4.49
 
9
11.00
3,673
 
122
1.70
 
70
4.70
20,784
 
66
4.18
 
15
9.30
7,404
 
143
-0.57
 
26
7.63
9,369
 
83
3.61
 
57
5.02
16,916
 
139
-0.13
 
35
6.74
4,863
 
130
0.92
 
27
7.39
8,196
 
70
4.12
 
54
5.28
49,062
 
75
3.78
 
75
4.42
451,979
 
96
3.20
 
66
4.82
56,085
 
87
3.56
 
4
13.97
9,110
 
84
3.61
 
59
4.97
107,093
 
100
2.97
 
30
7.33
14,505
 
126
1.35
 
21
8.43
169,603
 
90
3.41
 
53
5.35
51,195
 
105
2.42
 
33
6.93
36,793
 
102
2.68
 
74
4.52
55,774
 
128
1.15
 
28
7.38
131,753
 
106
2.40
 
39
6.43
101,249
 
136
0.39
 
11
10.20
3,934
 
112
2.09
 
42
6.02
27,100
 
118
1.87
 
62
4.87
252,529
Lagging Counties
 
135
0.55
 
153
-11.80
1,181
 
67
4.17
 
90
3.52
99,436
 
115
1.95
 
110
2.12
26,647
 
146
-1.66
 
143
-2.53
15,939
 
94
3.30
 
129
0.76
475,303
 
142
-0.52
 
151
-10.40
2,662
 
144
-0.61
 
146
-2.88
1,584
 
72
4.08
 
144
-2.80
588,005
 
114
1.95
 
87
3.68
55,383
 
121
1.73
 
81
3.85
27,962
 
141
-0.38
 
104
2.52
9,259
 
101
2.74
 
124
1.26
236,273
 
73
3.96
 
138
-0.12
12,698
 
127
1.24
 
85
3.74
22,457
 
86
3.56
 
96
2.97
36,163
 
85
3.60
 
126
0.99
19,259
 
89
3.49
 
107
2.38
271,317
 
93
3.31
 
149
-9.44
178,492
 
60
4.36
 
98
2.87
3,971,970
 
79
3.69
 
78
4.14
55,996
 
131
0.81
 
147
-4.14
3,591
 
59
4.37
 
112
2.09
332,807
 
123
1.66
 
128
0.78
7,115
 
64
4.27
 
113
2.04
7,865
 
120
1.84
 
123
1.33
18,987
 
137
0.24
 
97
2.89
4,515
 
53
4.49
 
133
0.39
5,104
 
58
4.38
 
79
4.11
17,433
 
109
2.15
 
131
0.54
282,260
 
99
2.99
 
120
1.47
40,566
 
56
4.44
 
103
2.70
12,439
 
113
2.02
 
145
-2.82
3,624
 
129
0.97
 
101
2.72
17,547
 
117
1.93
 
152
-10.75
25,964
 
147
-3.79
 
121
1.44
4,018
 
61
4.32
 
117
1.51
42,246
 
104
2.63
 
80
3.87
428,525
 
55
4.45
 
139
-0.30
131,705
 
52
4.53
 
119
1.47
76,556
 
92
3.34
 
137
-0.08
13,670
 
133
0.76
 
108
2.29
32,479
 
125
1.54
 
141
-1.19
6,718
 
69
4.12
 
136
-0.04
237,095
 
103
2.68
 
150
-9.49
13,488
 
108
2.25
 
135
0.03
14,283
 
68
4.13
 
118
1.50
129,586
 
124
1.58
 
77
4.19
2,413
 
111
2.11
 
134
0.24
46,143
 
145
-1.36
 
148
-7.67
1,011
 
140
-0.27
 
89
3.65
14,468
 
110
2.13
 
111
2.10
9,832
 
77
3.76
 
130
0.68
124,635
 
65
4.26
 
122
1.44
72,677
 
138
-0.02
 
132
0.46
6,580
 
51
4.54
 
142
-2.23
10,874
 
116
1.94
 
114
1.78
48,234
 
107
2.28
 
93
3.19
12,803
 
132
0.80
 
115
1.75
17,921
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
106
2.44
671
 
U
U
 
52
5.40
1,211
 
U
U
 
140
-0.80
3,726
 
U
U
 
10
10.84
2,556
 
U
U
 
38
6.57
844
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
37
6.59
889
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.56
 
4.42
26,070,894
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.97
 
3.04
861,699,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610700_LSGL
 
   
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