Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Farm Earnings Growth
Across Georgia Counties
Real* Farm
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Farm
Earnings Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 8.56%
2022 = 64.64%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real farm earnings growth across all of Georgia's 159 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Georgia Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real farm earnings growth of Georgia's 159 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Farm
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Farm
Earnings Growth
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 8.56%
2022 = 64.64%
This figure displays the 159 counties of Georgia as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real farm earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real farm earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real farm earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 8.56%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 8.56% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real farm earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (8.56%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 98 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 61 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 56 counties whose most recent (2022) real farm earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (64.64%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 103 counties whose real farm earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 159 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 8.56% over 2010-2022 and 64.64% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real farm earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (8.56%) and near-term (64.64%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real farm earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (8.56%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Georgia average (64.64%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real farm earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (8.56%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (64.64%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real farm earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (8.56%) and near-term (64.64%).
   
 
Summary of Georgia's 159 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(64.64%)
Above
(64.64%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(8.56%)
47
51
98
Below
(8.56%)
56
5
61
 
103
56
159
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 8.56%
2022 = 64.64%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Georgia counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Georgia's average annual real farm earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 8.56%) as well as near-term (2022 = 64.64%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real farm earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 51 (32%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 8.56%
2022 = 64.64%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 47 Georgia counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real farm earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 8.56%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 64.64%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real farm earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 47 (30%) of Georgia's 159 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 8.56%
2022 = 64.64%
This figure shows the distribution of the 5 Georgia counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real farm earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 8.56%), while they outpaced Georgia's average near-term (2022 = 64.64%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real farm earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, only 3% (5) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2022 = 8.56%
2022 = 64.64%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 56 Georgia counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real farm earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 8.56%) as well as near-term (2022 = 64.64%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real farm earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
35% of Georgia's counties, 56 of 159, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Georgia
Real* Farm Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
67
19.01
 
53
70.97
76,830
 
98
9.72
 
45
86.63
27,866
 
90
11.16
 
42
95.37
31,469
 
2
915.53
 
22
211.97
80,575
 
8
331.80
 
31
168.71
21,486
 
10
315.50
 
12
427.46
749
 
32
74.06
 
27
191.91
80,963
 
77
15.14
 
47
81.47
9,863
 
45
44.96
 
10
514.93
15,902
 
41
52.08
 
6
686.27
7,501
 
86
12.29
 
41
98.37
31,092
 
17
166.67
 
29
186.43
12,514
 
49
43.75
 
33
141.70
27,472
 
6
351.70
 
9
574.91
31,370
 
52
40.93
 
44
89.36
10,852
 
89
11.84
 
50
78.95
15,801
 
27
95.32
 
14
264.77
143,558
 
37
55.86
 
30
174.25
101,958
 
20
142.17
 
18
233.07
113,177
 
40
54.08
 
21
213.38
32,100
 
35
62.84
 
32
162.52
67,629
 
9
325.23
 
2
4,841.24
34,144
 
24
116.30
 
15
254.44
18,463
 
13
216.77
 
26
193.06
83,773
 
3
873.07
 
39
110.40
18,208
 
11
304.35
 
23
211.37
65,326
 
14
213.27
 
3
2,936.00
2,277
 
83
13.57
 
40
106.01
20,418
 
85
13.00
 
54
70.35
5,281
 
4
521.15
 
1
4,989.89
9,193
 
72
17.64
 
36
127.06
97,524
 
22
135.63
 
25
201.92
113,447
 
54
38.73
 
8
607.83
16,181
 
42
49.31
 
11
502.51
21,359
 
30
86.99
 
28
189.97
61,610
 
69
17.69
 
37
117.21
69,032
 
16
179.91
 
7
650.30
24,730
 
31
79.33
 
38
115.02
3,679
 
51
43.06
 
56
66.67
21,440
 
96
9.75
 
49
79.58
8,101
 
18
166.19
 
17
240.17
32,445
 
50
43.31
 
19
227.79
9,424
 
97
9.73
 
48
80.73
143,203
 
82
13.59
 
43
91.89
7,664
 
28
90.34
 
20
224.87
7,917
 
78
15.04
 
51
78.68
23,463
 
1
4,459.83
 
24
210.11
58,720
 
26
104.68
 
16
245.20
37,506
 
15
180.01
 
4
2,182.51
30,403
 
56
33.56
 
34
137.34
87,532
 
60
27.93
 
55
68.53
996
Slipping Counties
 
70
17.68
 
115
-30.54
6,902
 
12
252.45
 
58
59.29
-541
 
47
44.42
 
125
-40.69
9,458
 
66
19.82
 
81
6.23
39,292
 
94
10.33
 
67
24.62
6,642
 
71
17.67
 
106
-22.68
-752
 
88
12.12
 
75
11.50
8,618
 
34
63.42
 
143
-106.26
-51
 
55
38.39
 
122
-35.93
8,664
 
38
54.65
 
155
-314.29
-75
 
64
23.03
 
87
-3.26
39,800
 
62
24.43
 
94
-10.81
6,891
 
48
44.07
 
136
-49.78
345
 
75
16.13
 
140
-70.51
5,909
 
19
150.02
 
114
-25.61
6,848
 
73
16.83
 
133
-47.27
5,090
 
63
23.46
 
57
60.06
14,886
 
5
353.02
 
150
-167.19
-170
 
76
15.47
 
78
7.59
2,723
 
59
29.34
 
153
-297.86
-740
 
39
54.09
 
76
10.14
4,226
 
92
10.64
 
108
-23.08
18,986
 
81
13.93
 
113
-25.34
4,621
 
84
13.47
 
105
-21.75
22,411
 
29
89.82
 
120
-34.52
203
 
33
70.29
 
151
-184.22
-1,500
 
36
57.29
 
72
12.33
1,376
 
91
11.10
 
130
-44.93
15,777
 
93
10.60
 
71
14.94
21,157
 
65
22.55
 
60
49.29
20,272
 
46
44.88
 
63
28.54
5,413
 
21
140.12
 
147
-126.22
-97
 
57
32.08
 
138
-55.17
5,673
 
43
47.48
 
101
-18.24
475
 
58
30.55
 
139
-55.88
255
 
80
14.07
 
126
-40.98
20,751
 
53
38.76
 
74
11.83
1,030
 
79
14.27
 
66
25.29
48,048
 
44
46.49
 
110
-23.50
1,716
 
87
12.16
 
99
-14.06
8,601
 
25
116.16
 
111
-24.77
9,794
 
7
333.73
 
159
-2,231.11
-959
 
23
129.52
 
145
-116.92
-155
 
68
18.89
 
148
-129.92
-260
 
95
10.07
 
104
-21.51
5,456
 
74
16.55
 
59
59.09
44,689
 
61
27.79
 
124
-39.76
19,013
Gaining Counties
 
150
-24.77
 
52
75.07
-2,542
 
100
7.94
 
46
83.78
54,285
 
115
4.96
 
5
775.16
2,783
 
146
-19.63
 
13
377.50
1,221
 
141
-2.71
 
35
133.01
713
Lagging Counties
 
123
2.67
 
92
-9.68
16,854
 
155
-56.22
 
135
-49.28
-1,454
 
125
2.46
 
107
-22.81
6,462
 
126
2.14
 
88
-3.82
16,234
 
107
6.58
 
69
16.33
38,416
 
140
-2.34
 
117
-31.73
2,050
 
102
7.36
 
118
-33.32
1,955
 
116
4.85
 
100
-17.79
19,102
 
147
-21.09
 
146
-118.60
-94
 
132
1.52
 
84
-0.03
11,743
 
134
0.16
 
65
25.64
1,372
 
106
6.79
 
85
-1.36
3,705
 
156
-58.39
 
79
7.21
-1,145
 
104
7.16
 
141
-89.85
330
 
128
1.97
 
103
-19.77
2,293
 
111
5.48
 
70
15.45
101,268
 
144
-3.59
 
68
22.17
8,074
 
139
-1.64
 
128
-43.85
2,283
 
122
2.81
 
116
-31.34
37,184
 
114
5.32
 
109
-23.31
7,827
 
152
-40.28
 
157
-340.42
-3,149
 
120
3.75
 
73
11.94
9,880
 
119
4.30
 
134
-47.31
891
 
159
-750.94
 
158
-1,160.77
-2,282
 
158
-134.35
 
156
-330.60
-1,154
 
124
2.51
 
83
4.02
36,015
 
135
0.04
 
97
-13.37
3,155
 
105
7.01
 
131
-45.23
1,379
 
103
7.33
 
112
-24.99
10,816
 
153
-43.31
 
154
-314.01
-5,291
 
148
-21.62
 
96
-11.54
17,576
 
117
4.73
 
89
-5.64
20,189
 
157
-82.36
 
152
-206.82
-675
 
118
4.70
 
119
-33.57
6,653
 
136
-0.02
 
91
-8.21
13,493
 
143
-3.10
 
123
-37.86
512
 
142
-2.74
 
137
-52.03
1,640
 
121
3.12
 
62
29.06
84,331
 
112
5.42
 
95
-11.15
6,773
 
110
5.57
 
98
-13.80
-1,047
 
154
-49.57
 
129
-44.75
-909
 
138
-0.70
 
61
36.08
12,168
 
129
1.85
 
93
-10.10
6,580
 
133
1.02
 
142
-95.77
459
 
99
7.95
 
64
28.36
4,970
 
101
7.93
 
127
-41.46
10,919
 
131
1.64
 
121
-35.60
11,701
 
137
-0.13
 
86
-3.20
19,215
 
149
-22.96
 
144
-111.10
-1,997
 
145
-5.77
 
102
-19.73
3,059
 
113
5.33
 
77
9.25
17,129
 
130
1.81
 
90
-6.01
2,532
 
109
5.78
 
82
4.43
10,696
 
151
-38.05
 
149
-161.94
-1,538
 
127
2.09
 
80
6.58
7,144
 
108
6.57
 
132
-46.16
1,667
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8.56
 
64.64
3,145,316
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7.08
 
5.51
114,272,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_500000_LSGL
 
   
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