Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Georgia Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
Georgia:
2010-2021 = 1.99%
2021 = 4.95%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Georgia's 159 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Georgia Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Georgia's 159 counties over the year (2021) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2021). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2021 = 1.99%
2021 = 4.95%
This figure displays the 159 counties of Georgia as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2021), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2021).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.99%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.99% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.99%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 44 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2021, while 115 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 50 counties whose most recent (2021) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.95%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 109 counties whose employment growth over 2021 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 159 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2021) and near-term (2021) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.99% over 2010-2021 and 4.95% over 2021:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the twenty-four counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.99%) and near-term (4.95%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the twenty counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.99%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Georgia average (4.95%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the twenty-six counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.99%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.95%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the eighty-nine counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.99%) and near-term (4.95%).
   
 
Summary of Georgia's 159 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.95%)
Above
(4.95%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.99%)
20
24
44
Below
(1.99%)
89
26
115
 
109
50
159
 
   
Leading Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2021 = 1.99%
2021 = 4.95%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Georgia counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Georgia's average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 1.99%) as well as near-term (2021 = 4.95%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021 as noted in the table below.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 24 (15%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Slipping Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2021 = 1.99%
2021 = 4.95%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 20 Georgia counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2021 = 1.99%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2021 = 4.95%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Only 20 ( 13%) of Georgia's 159 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2021 = 1.99%
2021 = 4.95%
This figure shows the distribution of the 26 Georgia counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2021 = 1.99%), while they outpaced Georgia's average near-term (2021 = 4.95%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Of Georgia's 159 counties, 16% (26) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Georgia:
2010-2021 = 1.99%
2021 = 4.95%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 89 Georgia counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 1.99%) as well as near-term (2021 = 4.95%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
56% of Georgia's counties, 89 of 159, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Georgia
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2021
 
2021
 
 
Leading Counties
 
11
3.52
 
18
6.96
35,837
 
7
4.20
 
5
9.18
16,658
 
30
2.41
 
38
5.52
11,453
 
36
2.36
 
17
6.97
5,493
 
42
2.09
 
25
6.10
222,162
 
21
2.76
 
26
5.94
62,844
 
15
3.19
 
8
8.87
69,373
 
34
2.37
 
4
9.35
14,639
 
39
2.18
 
20
6.76
74,464
 
23
2.72
 
21
6.53
20,092
 
37
2.30
 
47
5.12
12,528
 
6
4.34
 
24
6.26
130,218
 
28
2.56
 
31
5.80
1,223,129
 
24
2.70
 
35
5.55
602,400
 
20
2.83
 
36
5.54
128,673
 
9
3.91
 
11
7.91
121,301
 
1
5.96
 
3
9.60
48,960
 
14
3.25
 
41
5.32
12,254
 
38
2.24
 
23
6.28
13,823
 
19
2.86
 
2
10.56
13,453
 
8
4.13
 
19
6.95
24,083
 
4
4.68
 
10
7.93
56,231
 
40
2.15
 
46
5.14
53,573
 
10
3.53
 
16
7.38
42,086
Slipping Counties
 
22
2.72
 
126
1.63
3,425
 
25
2.66
 
65
4.44
59,503
 
2
5.70
 
157
-4.08
17,035
 
12
3.40
 
81
3.71
119,304
 
31
2.38
 
55
4.73
566,528
 
27
2.59
 
153
-0.34
2,906
 
41
2.09
 
66
4.41
70,926
 
44
1.99
 
63
4.50
31,632
 
32
2.38
 
54
4.73
10,723
 
29
2.49
 
122
1.80
10,894
 
26
2.61
 
116
2.08
8,188
 
3
4.77
 
61
4.58
2,902
 
16
3.03
 
104
2.53
12,834
 
13
3.32
 
90
3.24
48,038
 
33
2.38
 
120
1.89
4,530
 
35
2.36
 
105
2.49
51,025
 
5
4.51
 
154
-0.72
3,037
 
18
2.86
 
121
1.81
2,535
 
43
2.07
 
128
1.48
959
 
17
2.94
 
74
4.03
14,234
Gaining Counties
 
116
0.47
 
48
5.05
6,285
 
122
0.39
 
44
5.17
24,136
 
94
0.78
 
13
7.75
1,085
 
71
1.18
 
14
7.69
12,137
 
120
0.42
 
27
5.92
63,363
 
84
1.00
 
34
5.58
54,157
 
46
1.92
 
43
5.21
11,423
 
146
-0.35
 
33
5.60
3,658
 
49
1.76
 
49
4.97
3,988
 
50
1.74
 
22
6.38
4,985
 
47
1.85
 
7
8.89
6,823
 
89
0.88
 
39
5.39
27,107
 
91
0.81
 
45
5.14
43,304
 
158
-1.47
 
15
7.42
2,127
 
102
0.63
 
6
8.91
10,598
 
63
1.44
 
37
5.52
8,925
 
67
1.40
 
32
5.72
34,291
 
70
1.22
 
29
5.86
2,169
 
45
1.95
 
9
8.71
1,784
 
132
0.14
 
30
5.83
2,796
 
106
0.60
 
1
13.48
3,956
 
101
0.65
 
42
5.26
28,639
 
85
0.98
 
40
5.34
5,974
 
61
1.53
 
28
5.87
11,859
 
90
0.84
 
12
7.78
23,011
 
118
0.45
 
50
4.97
12,218
Lagging Counties
 
82
1.03
 
127
1.50
9,797
 
86
0.98
 
146
0.41
5,363
 
87
0.90
 
99
2.91
1,097
 
137
0.05
 
75
3.88
23,186
 
69
1.26
 
58
4.67
6,902
 
138
0.02
 
97
2.98
8,265
 
105
0.60
 
71
4.15
115,106
 
156
-1.10
 
91
3.22
4,525
 
52
1.73
 
144
0.42
4,572
 
62
1.46
 
141
0.99
5,595
 
54
1.69
 
76
3.86
38,433
 
155
-1.10
 
93
3.14
1,873
 
65
1.41
 
69
4.26
61,782
 
59
1.61
 
52
4.87
24,184
 
127
0.31
 
149
0.22
3,182
 
142
-0.08
 
150
0.09
18,798
 
150
-0.47
 
147
0.32
7,826
 
83
1.02
 
79
3.81
94,138
 
51
1.74
 
68
4.32
180,373
 
78
1.06
 
83
3.68
3,382
 
55
1.68
 
142
0.64
24,089
 
75
1.11
 
94
3.11
21,776
 
76
1.09
 
109
2.44
6,766
 
48
1.78
 
86
3.51
6,161
 
149
-0.45
 
96
2.98
12,538
 
68
1.36
 
59
4.66
481,665
 
147
-0.37
 
131
1.36
7,656
 
97
0.75
 
138
1.13
5,205
 
119
0.44
 
125
1.65
5,862
 
115
0.49
 
159
-7.20
812
 
148
-0.41
 
110
2.35
8,927
 
130
0.28
 
95
3.02
10,419
 
113
0.54
 
129
1.42
6,202
 
98
0.72
 
73
4.06
54,063
 
80
1.04
 
107
2.46
12,000
 
117
0.46
 
88
3.39
12,668
 
114
0.50
 
155
-1.56
820
 
72
1.17
 
80
3.81
9,872
 
135
0.09
 
145
0.41
19,738
 
88
0.89
 
115
2.14
2,772
 
108
0.59
 
51
4.92
10,917
 
53
1.70
 
57
4.68
92,920
 
96
0.75
 
139
1.12
6,299
 
104
0.62
 
119
1.95
7,784
 
103
0.63
 
137
1.18
2,576
 
143
-0.09
 
148
0.31
2,620
 
56
1.66
 
134
1.26
2,649
 
109
0.57
 
124
1.72
2,602
 
92
0.80
 
108
2.44
71,635
 
81
1.04
 
117
2.08
10,745
 
139
0.02
 
101
2.70
3,759
 
140
-0.03
 
106
2.48
4,760
 
58
1.64
 
62
4.55
8,568
 
121
0.42
 
78
3.83
8,139
 
95
0.77
 
113
2.20
2,696
 
154
-1.02
 
132
1.35
9,734
 
131
0.16
 
156
-3.98
2,772
 
157
-1.26
 
64
4.46
11,549
 
111
0.55
 
100
2.77
131,918
 
60
1.56
 
87
3.50
14,300
 
66
1.41
 
70
4.23
14,203
 
74
1.13
 
114
2.14
6,963
 
57
1.64
 
56
4.71
6,203
 
123
0.37
 
112
2.20
16,421
 
112
0.55
 
143
0.59
4,626
 
93
0.79
 
67
4.39
666
 
129
0.29
 
103
2.56
3,000
 
79
1.06
 
92
3.19
150,504
 
153
-0.67
 
77
3.85
1,698
 
145
-0.24
 
72
4.13
5,093
 
136
0.09
 
130
1.40
3,704
 
151
-0.55
 
136
1.19
11,882
 
133
0.12
 
135
1.21
15,009
 
73
1.17
 
133
1.34
530
 
107
0.59
 
140
1.09
9,102
 
159
-2.35
 
123
1.74
3,978
 
64
1.43
 
60
4.64
29,366
 
99
0.71
 
98
2.95
16,490
 
141
-0.04
 
151
-0.05
2,009
 
126
0.31
 
111
2.35
3,706
 
128
0.30
 
53
4.86
10,499
 
110
0.56
 
102
2.66
20,472
 
134
0.10
 
118
2.06
9,553
 
152
-0.65
 
85
3.52
1,880
 
100
0.68
 
84
3.53
69,312
 
125
0.33
 
82
3.71
2,547
 
144
-0.23
 
89
3.30
4,471
 
77
1.09
 
158
-5.86
4,515
 
124
0.34
 
152
-0.10
6,239
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.99
 
4.95
6,639,656
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.31
 
3.82
202,752,100
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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